The White House,
under political pressure to respond forcefully to the Sept. 11 attack on
theU.S. Consulate in Benghazi, is readying strike forces and drones but first
has to find a target.
And if the administration does find a target,
officials say it still has to weigh whether the short-term payoff of exacting
retribution on al-Qaida is worth the risk that such strikes could elevate the
group's profile in the region, alienate governments the U.S. needs to fight the
group in the future and do little to slow the growing terror threat in North
Africa.
Details on the administration's position and
on its search for a possible target were provided by three current and one
former administration official, as well as an analyst who was approached by the
White House for help. All four spoke on condition of anonymity because they
were not authorized to discuss the high-level debates publicly.
In another effort to bolster Libyan security,
the Pentagon and State Department have been developing a plan to train and
equip a special operations force in Libya, according to a senior defense
official.
The efforts show the tension of the White
House's need to demonstrate it is responding forcefully to al-Qaida, balanced
against its long-term plans to develop relationships and trust with local
governments and build a permanent U.S. counterterrorist network in the region.
Vice President Joe Biden pledged in his debate
last week with Republican vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan to find those
responsible for the Sept. 11 attack on the U.S. Consulate in Benghazi that
killed U.S. Ambassador Chris Stevens and three others.
"We will find and bring to justice the
men who did this," Biden said in response to a question about whether
intelligence failures led to lax security around Stevens and the consulate.
Referring back to the raid that killedOsama bin Laden last year, Biden said
American counterterror policy should be, "if you do harm to America, we
will track you to the gates of hell if need be."
The White House declined to comment on the
debate over how best to respond to the Benghazi attack.
The attack has become an issue in the U.S.
election season, with Republicans accusing the Obama administration of being
slow to label the assault an act of terrorism and slow to strike back at those
responsible. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton said Monday night that
the security of State Department operations was her responsibility.
The White House is "aiming for a small
pop, a flash in the pan, so as to be able to say, 'Hey, we're doing something
about it,'" said retired Air Force Lt. Col. Rudy Attalah, the former
Africa counterterrorism director for Defense Department under President George
W. Bush.
Attalah noted that in 1998, after the embassy
bombing in Nairobi, the Clinton administration fired cruise missiles to take
out a pharmaceutical factory in Sudan that may have been producing chemical
weapons for al-Qaida.
"It was a way to say, 'Look, we did
something,'" he said.
On the subject of developing a special
operations unit, U.S. officials received approval from Congress well before the
Benghazi attack to reprogram some funding in the budget that could be used for
the commando program in Libya. But the details are still being discussed with
the Libyans and also must get final approval from Congress, according to the
defense official, who spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not
authorized to discuss the matter publicly.
The initial cost is estimated at about $6.2
million.
The defense official said U.S. leaders have
recognized the need to train Libyan commando forces, but details such as the
size, mission and composition of the forces are still being finalized.
A Washington-based analyst with extensive
experience in Africa said administration officials have approached him for help
in connecting the dots to Mali, whose northern half fell to al-Qaida-linked
rebels this spring. They wanted to know if he could suggest potential targets,
which he says he was not able to do.
"The civilian side is looking into doing
something and is running into a lot of pushback from the military side,"
the analyst said. "The resistance that is coming from the military side is
because the military has both worked in the region and trained in the region.
So they are more realistic."
Islamists in the region are preparing for a
reaction from the U.S.
"If America hits us, I promise you that
we will multiply the Sept. 11 attack by 10," said Oumar Ould Hamaha, a
spokesman for the Islamists in northern Mali, while denying that his group or
al-Qaida fighters based in Mali played a role in the Benghazi attack.
Finding the militants who overwhelmed a small
security force at the consulate isn't going to be easy.
The key suspects are members of the Libyan
militia group Ansar al-Shariah. The group has denied responsibility, but
eyewitnesses saw Ansar fighters at the consulate, and U.S. intelligence
intercepted phone calls after the attack from Ansar fighters to leaders of
al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb, or AQIM, bragging about it. The affiliate's
leaders are known to be mostly in northern Mali, where they have seized a
territory as large as Texas following a coup in the country's capital. The
Maghreb is a region of northwest Africa that stretches from Libya to
Mauritania.
But U.S. investigators have only loosely
linked "one or two names" to the attack, and they lack proof that it
was planned ahead of time or that the local fighters had any help from the
larger al-Qaida affiliate, officials say.
If that proof is found, the White House must
decide whether to ask Libyan security forces to arrest the suspects with an eye
to extraditing them to the U.S. for trial or to simply target the suspects with
U.S. covert action.
U.S. officials say covert action is more
likely. The FBI couldn't gain access to the consulate until weeks after the
attack, so it is unlikely it will be able to build a strong criminal case. The
U.S. is also leery of trusting the arrest and questioning of the suspects to
the fledgling Libyan security forces and legal system still building after the
overthrow of Moammar Gadhafi in 2011.
The burden of proof for U.S. covert action is
far lower, but action by the CIA or special operations forces still requires a
body of evidence that shows the suspect either took part in the violence or
presents a "continuing and persistent, imminent threat" to U.S.
targets, current and former officials said.
"If the people who were targeted were
themselves directly complicit in this attack or directly affiliated with a
group strongly implicated in the attack, then you can make an argument of
imminence of threat," said Robert Grenier, former director of the CIA's
Counterterrorism Center.
But if the U.S. acts alone to target them in
Africa, "it raises all kinds of sovereignty issues ... and makes people
very uncomfortable," said Grenier, who has criticized the CIA's heavy use
of drones in Pakistan without that government's support.
Even a strike that happens with permission
could prove problematic, especially in Libya or Mali, where al-Qaida supporters
are currently based. Both countries have fragile, interim governments that
could lose popular support if they are seen allowing the U.S. unfettered access
to hunt al-Qaida.
The Libyan government is so wary of the U.S.
investigation expanding into unilateral action that it refused requests to arm
the drones now being flown over Libya. Libyan officials have complained
publicly that they were unaware of how large the U.S. intelligence presence was
in Benghazi until a couple of dozen U.S. officials showed up at the airport
after the attack, waiting to be evacuated — roughly twice the number of U.S.
staff the Libyans thought were there. A number of those waiting to be evacuated
worked for U.S. intelligence, according to two American officials.
In Mali, U.S. officials have urged the
government to allow special operations trainers to return, to work with Mali's
forces to push al-Qaida out of that country's northern area. AQIM is among the
groups that filled the power vacuum after a coup by rebellious Malian forces in
March.
U.S. special operations forces trainers left
Mali just days after the coup. While such trainers have not been invited to
return, the U.S. has expanded its intelligence effort on Mali, focusing
satellite and spy flights over the contested northern region to track and map
the militant groups vying for control of the territory, officials say.
No comments:
Post a Comment