Tuesday, September 11, 2012

Israeli Sharpens Call for United States to Set Iran Trigger


WASHINGTON — Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel inserted himself into the most contentious foreign policy issue of the American presidential campaign on Tuesday, criticizing the Obama administration for refusing to set clear “red lines” on Iran’s nuclear progress that would prompt the United States to undertake a military strike. As a result, he said, the administration has no “moral right” to restrain Israel from taking military action of its own.
Mr. Netanyahu’s unusually harsh public comments about Israel’s most important ally, which closely track what he has reportedly said in vivid terms to American officials visiting Jerusalem, laid bare the tension between him and President Obama over how to handle Iran. They also suggested that he is willing to use the pressure of the presidential election to try to force Mr. Obama to commit to attack Iran under certain conditions.
In another sign of tensions in the American-Israeli relationship, a senior Israeli official said late Tuesday that the Obama administration had declined a request from Mr. Netanyahu’s office for a meeting with Mr. Obama when the Israeli leader visits the United States this month to attend the United Nations General Assembly. The Obama administration confirmed that no meeting would occur, but it said the decision was due to a scheduling problem and had been conveyed to Israel long ago.
The United States says it has no evidence that Iranian leaders have made a final decision to build a bomb. However, the International Atomic Energy Agency’s latest report says the country has amassed a stockpile of low- and medium-enriched uranium that, with further enrichment, could fuel as many as six nuclear weapons.
The United States concluded several years ago that Iran had suspended its nuclear weapons development program at the end of 2003, though there has been evidence of sporadic work since. The Israelis say Iran is quietly reconstituting a much larger effort, and must be stopped.
In demanding that Mr. Obama effectively issue an ultimatum to Iran, Mr. Netanyahu appeared to be making maximum use of his political leverage at a time when Mr. Obama’s Republican opponent, Mitt Romney, has sought to make an issue of what Mr. Romney says is the administration’s lack of support for Israel.
It is not clear what level of development in Iran’s nuclear program would constitute a “red line” in Israeli eyes. Dore Gold, president of the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs, a research institute, and a former Israeli ambassador to the United Nations, said in an interview last week, “It is very important to draw a line about the quantities of enriched uranium and the levels of enrichment.”
One option that has been widely discussed among experts advising the United States government is capping Iran’s uranium enrichment at a reactor-grade level. Also, Iran would be permitted to stockpile no more than 1,764 pounds of that uranium, less than is required, if further enriched, to make a single bomb.
Mr. Netanyahu, who is highly attuned to American politics, seemed to be using his comments to pressure Mr. Obama to specify at which point the United States would be prepared to take military action against Iran, perhaps this month at the opening of the United Nations General Assembly, which both will attend.
The Israeli ambassador to the United States, Michael B. Oren, echoed Mr. Netanyahu in an interview in Washington on Monday night and said the Israeli leadership wanted Mr. Obama and the leaders of other nations to agree on clear limits for Iran.
We know that the Iranians see red,” Mr. Oren said. “We know they can discern the color red. We know that the redder the line, the lesser the chance that they will pass it.”
Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton publicly rejected that approach over the weekend. She avoided discussion of Iran’s stockpile and said that “we’re not setting deadlines” beyond which the United States would turn to a military solution.
It appeared that Mrs. Clinton’s statement set Mr. Netanyahu off. “Those in the international community who refuse to put red lines before Iran don’t have a moral right to place a red light before Israel,” he said in Jerusalem at a news conference with the prime minister of Bulgaria, Boyko M. Borisov.
Mr. Obama has repeatedly argued — with the support of some leading Israeli officials — that the United States and Israel have closer security cooperation now than at any point in history. The United States provided much of the Iron Dome missile defense system for Israel, and for the past five years the two countries worked closely on a major covert operation against Iran called “Olympic Games,” an effort to sabotage Iran’s enrichment capability with cyberattacks.
But Mr. Obama has stopped well short of saying he would prevent Iran from developing the capability to produce a bomb. He has said only that he would not allow Iran to obtain a weapon; Mr. Netanyahu has said that is not enough.
Depending on how one defines the term, Mr. Obama’s aides and former aides acknowledge that Iran may already have that capability. It possesses the fuel and the knowledge to make a weapon, but that would take months or years, and Mr. Obama has argued that allows “time and space” for a negotiated solution.
Mr. Romney had no immediate comment about Mr. Netanyahu’s challenge to Mr. Obama, and one of his informal advisers on the Middle East said, “It’s probably better at this point to let Netanyahu make the point, because it’s more powerful that way.” The adviser said he was not authorized to speak on the record.
But the Netanyahu comments play right to the Republican nominee’s critique of Mr. Obama. On “Meet the Press” on Sunday, Mr. Romney declared that the progress of Iran’s nuclear program was Mr. Obama’s “greatest failure” in foreign policy.
The president hasn’t drawn us any further away from a nuclear Iran,” he said.
There is little doubt that the Iranian effort has progressed. When Mr. Obama took office, Iran had produced enough fuel to make, if enriched further, about one bomb, compared with the International Atomic Energy Agency’s current calculation of five or six.
But Mr. Romney’s proposed solutions have also delicately steered clear of describing with any precision how far Iran could go before he would use force to stop its program. Like Mr. Obama, he has not said how much progress he would allow Iran to make toward a weapons capability before he authorized a strike.
Instead, he has insisted that Mr. Obama was late to the task of placing “crippling sanctions” on Iran. Yet those sanctions have begun to strike at the heart of Iran’s greatest source of national revenue — oil sales — something that the Bush administration shied away from.
Mr. Netanyahu has been dismissive of sanctions. They are an indirect form of pressure, he has argued, and have not forced Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, to scale back the country’s nuclear program.
In recent days, the Israelis had appeared to be dialing down the pressure on Washington, with the Israeli news media reporting that Ehud Barak, the defense minister, was rethinking the wisdom of an attack in the coming months. There was speculation that Israeli officials feared that the long-term jeopardy to Israel’s relationship with Washington was not worth the short-term gain of setting back, but probably not destroying, Iran’s capability.
A number of American officials, in trips to Israel, have argued that an Israeli attack would only drive the nuclear program underground and most likely result in the expulsion of international inspectors, who are the best gauge of the program’s progress.
But Mr. Netanyahu revived the tough talk of the last few months and the message that time is running out for Israel.
So far, we can say with certainty that diplomacy and sanctions haven’t worked. The sanctions have hurt the Iranian economy, but they haven’t stopped the Iranian nuclear program,” Mr. Netanyahu said, adding, “The fact is that every day that passes, Iran gets closer and closer to nuclear bombs.”

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