While the
future of the 2010 health care law stabilized with the re-election of President
Obama, both Democrats and Republicans say now is the time for them to come
together to fix it.
"They
need to actually create some solutions together," said Don Berwick, former
administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. "I've had
a few conversations with people from both sides; everyone resonates with the
idea that something needs to happen."
Until
Tuesday, when Obama's future was determined, Republicans opposed to the law
waited for a change in administrations that would allow them to repeal the law.
That will not happen now with a Democrat in the White House for the next four
years. Repeal is no longer an option, and House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio,
called it the law of the land.
But
changes are imminent. "It's pretty clear to me that the [law] will not end
up the way it is now," said Doug Holtz-Eakin, president of the American
Action Forum and former economic policy adviser to 2008 Republican presidential
nominee John McCain.
The
analysts do agree on one thing, even if they don't necessarily agree on how to
go about it: Cutting costs through provider payments, rather than through the
health care system itself, won't cause health care costs to stabilize.
"I
think with the lack of continuity in care and excess costs to the system, the
very best way to address the problem is to improve care," Berwick said.
That's
partially built into the law with a move toward coordinated care in Medicare,
as well as charging hospitals if a Medicare patient is readmitted for
preventable issues. But more must come from prevention, experts say.
"We're
not going to cut entitlements by continuing to cut payment rates," said
Ken Thorpe, chair of the department of health policy and management at Emory
University in Atlanta.
Instead,
he said, lower costs must come from encouraging people to take better care of
themselves through proven diabetes-management and weight-loss programs, as well
as improved coordination of care inside medical organizations so everyone on a
team knows what the other is doing for a patient.
"We
need to avert disease in the first place," Thorpe said. "All of our
growth is in multiple chronic health problems. The IPAB and premium control
won't work without prevention."
The IPAB
is the Independent Payment Advisory Board. The president-appointed and
congressionally approved board goes into effect when Medicare and Medicaid
spending goes above a certain level. It can determine if payments to providers
should be lowered, but it may not do anything to affect the care received from
those programs, such as by limiting the kind of care a person receives.
Congress may reverse the board's actions by passing legislation for specific
recommendations.
Holtz-Eakin
said the board "will go away. Only being able to cut payment to providers
is always going to backfire."
State
exchanges — the websites created by states to let people quickly and easily
compare and choose insurance plans — are a "very sensible idea,"
Holtz-Eakin said. But the states should create them, not the federal
government, he said.
So far,
however, some states led by elected officials opposed to the law have delayed
creating exchanges, a delay that will mean the federal government will create
the exchanges for those states.
Some
people may have too many health benefits under the law and will consume more
health care, said John Goodman, president of the National Center for Policy
Analysis and a promoter of private-sector solutions to health care issues. That
could drive up overall costs unless people have high-deductible plans that force
them to shop for better prices.
Otherwise,
"Costs will continue to grow," he said. "Obama didn't create
this problem; it's been going on for 40 years. I think you have to deal with
the problems."
That's
where the differences lie: Thorpe argued that a $5,000 deductible won't help
someone who is already dealing with a multitude of chronic illnesses.
"The
market doesn't matter much when someone is already sick," he said.
"The challenge is more on the clinical management side."
Julie
Barnes, director of health policy at the Bipartisan Policy Center, said the
country needs a bipartisan plan for the whole health care system — not just the
Medicare and Medicaid programs.
"We
need comfort that our doctors can focus on taking care of us, insurers and
employers can help keep costs down, and we all start taking more responsibility
for our own good health," she said. "A bipartisan plan would include
paying health care professionals for keeping patients healthy, modernizing
facilities with the technology that would streamline processes and reduce
medical errors, and cut back on unnecessary tests and treatment by better
coordinating care for patients."
And that,
she said, would go a long way toward fixing the economy, because health care
takes up much of the budget.
Insurers,
reassured that the individual mandate requiring people to buy health insurance
and the state exchanges will go forward, also have a wish list.
Justine
Handelman, vice president for legislation and policy for the Blue Cross and
Blue Shield Association, would like to see a change to the "health
insurer's tax," which she said a Joint Committee on Taxation study found
could add between $350 to $400 a year to family premiums. This is an annual tax
of $60.1 billion beginning in January 2014 based on premiums collected that
year, and fully imposed on insurance firms that make $50 million or more in
profits. Blue Cross would like to see that lowered.
Others,
such as Ron Pollack of Families USA, have argued that Americans now pay $1,000
a year more in premiums to account for care received by the uninsured, so the
$400 increase should be offset.
As the
states begin building exchanges, they are required by the federal government to
include some elements in basic health plans, such as preventive care and dental
care for children. States may also mandate that plans include benefits to
participate in the exchange. Handelman said it's important to keep those plans
"reasonable and cheap."
America's
Health Insurance Plans released a statement congratulating the president on his
re-election, but making the same points Handelman did.
"Several
provisions in the law, such as the new premium tax, minimum coverage
requirements and age-rating restrictions, need to be addressed to keep coverage
as affordable as possible and ensure broad participation in the system,"
AHIP President Karen Ignagni said in the release.
Handelman
said she also was concerned that insurers may no longer base premiums on age,
so the young and healthy, in what the Obama administration has called an end to
"age discrimination," no longer pay less than older or chronically
ill people. She argued that the more young people on the insurance rolls, the
cheaper it will be for everyone.
But some
things won't change at all because, she said, Blue Cross has already
implemented coordinated care to prevent duplicate tests or to ensure people
have what they need to avoid expensive hospitalizations.
"We're
really beginning to see costs go down," Handelman said. "That started
long before the Affordable Care Act and will continue."
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